create virtual currency Top Overview

CITIC Securities: The growth rate of supply is expected to move down rapidly, and there is room for aluminum price increase. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the growth rate of global electrolytic aluminum production is expected to be 3.6%/2.2%/1.7%/0.9% from 2024 to 2027, showing a rapid downward trend. At the same time, our calculation results show that the incentive price of overseas electrolytic aluminum projects may be as high as 3000 US dollars /24000 yuan. The current aluminum price is difficult to stimulate overseas capacity expansion. We are optimistic about the rising space of aluminum price and the allocation value of aluminum plate under the background of strong supply constraints. Maintain the aluminum plate "stronger than the market" rating.Hong Kong stocks ushered in the "structural bull" and the future valuation center is expected to rise. Since late September, the policy combination boxing has exceeded expectations, and the Hang Seng Index has taken advantage of the trend. As of the close of December 13th, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 17.15% this year, which is the first time since 2020. In terms of sectors and individual stocks, it is one after another, constantly deducing "structural cattle". Wind's statistics show that since the beginning of this year, a total of 333 stocks have increased by more than 50%, of which 142 stocks have doubled, and Quanzhi International has increased by more than 10 times this year. Eight stocks including Boya Interactive, Wanshun Ruiqiang Group, Zheli Holdings, Honghao International Holdings and Shanghai Qingpu Fire Protection have also increased by more than 5 times. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, Guotai Junan Hong Kong believes that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in 2025, and the valuation center of Hong Kong stocks will continue to improve marginally. Looking ahead, Hong Kong stocks will remain volatile and investors need to pay attention to structural industry opportunities. In its view, the Hong Kong stock market is dominated by "N"-shaped upward volatility, and there are many flexible opportunities in the stage, but we should pay attention to actively looking for structural industry opportunities. (Securities Times)Foreign media: Satellite images show that Russia is packing up equipment at the Syrian air base. According to a report on the website of Lianhe Zaobao in Singapore on December 14, the satellite images of Maxar Technology Company in the United States show that Russia seems to be packing up military equipment at an air base in Syria. According to the satellite image taken on December 13th, at least two An -124 transport planes' noses were raised at the Hermimim Air Force Base in Latakia province, which is located on the Syrian coast. Maxar Technology said that the nose doors of two An -124 heavy transport planes parked on the apron have been opened, ready to load equipment and goods. A nearby Ka -52 helicopter gunship is being dismantled and may be ready for transportation, while the personnel of the S-400 Triumph air defense missile system are also preparing to leave from the previous air base deployment site. (Reference message)

National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): More active and promising macro policies will be implemented next year. The reporter learned from the National Development and Reform Work Conference held by NDRC yesterday (13th) that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, countercyclical adjustment of macro policies will be intensified next year, so as to solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation. It will expand domestic demand in all directions. Accelerate the "two-fold" construction, expand effective investment, make good use of all kinds of construction funds such as central budget investment, ultra-long-term special national debt, and new local government special debt, promote the formation of more physical workload as soon as possible, and continue to promote the introduction of private capital into major projects. We will do a good job in the "two new" work, implement special actions to boost consumption, and promote consumption expansion, quality improvement and efficiency improvement. It will promote the further comprehensive deepening of the implementation of reform measures, organize the implementation of the "Guidelines for the Construction of a National Unified Big Market (Trial)", revise and introduce a new version of the negative list of market access, and deeply break down market access barriers. Promote the private economy promotion law as soon as possible. In addition, we will accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system and promote the upgrading of key industries. Vigorously support the high-quality development of manufacturing industry and comprehensively rectify the "involution" competition. (CCTV News)The United Nations Security Council discussed the situation in Central Africa. China called on the international community to provide targeted help. On December 13, local time, the United Nations Security Council discussed the situation in Central Africa. The Chinese representative said that the current situation in Central Africa is generally stable, and the international community should provide targeted and constructive help in a timely manner to support regional countries in taking a development path in line with their own national conditions. The meeting was briefed by Abari, Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Central Africa and Director of the UN Regional Office for Central Africa. Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, said that it is necessary to maintain the overall positive momentum of the regional situation. In the past six months, the situation in Central Africa has been generally stable and the political peace process has made positive progress. Gabon held a constitutional referendum according to the established timetable, Rwanda successfully held a general election, and Chad continued to advance the process of peace and reconciliation. The progress is worthy of recognition and welcome. At present, many countries are actively preparing for general or local elections. We hope that all political forces in the countries concerned will strengthen dialogue and consultation, bridge differences, build consensus and steadily advance the political process. The international community should provide targeted and constructive help in a timely manner and support regional countries to take the development path that suits their own national conditions.Shanghai will build a space-time digital twin system. Chen Jining, secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, attended the opening day of "Shanghai Quantum City Space-time Innovation Base" in Fuxing Island, Yangpu District yesterday morning to unveil the Shanghai Key Laboratory of Space-time Innovation of Quantum City. According to the construction plan, relevant parties in Shanghai will innovatively integrate and apply all kinds of new digital technologies to build a spatio-temporal digital twin system with virtual reality, online and offline linkage, and all things interconnected. By 2027, the city's spatio-temporal intelligent governance capacity will be comprehensively improved, and thousands of industries will be supported, forming a number of industrial clusters in the spatio-temporal field of artificial intelligence. (Liberation Daily)

Two-way opening-up continues to deepen, and foreign-funded institutions continue to be optimistic about China's capital market. Near the end of the year, many foreign-funded institutions have issued investment strategies for 2025. Foreign-funded institutions generally believe that a series of incremental policies since the end of September are gradually exerting their effects, providing strong support for China's stable economic growth and high-quality development. At the same time, the interconnection of financial markets continues to deepen, and the system of qualified foreign investors continues to be optimized, which also makes foreign investors' interest in investing in China continue to rise. Many foreign-funded institutions such as Goldman Sachs, UBS and Morgan Asset Management continue to be optimistic about the market outlook of China's capital market. Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley in China, said that the regulatory authorities are increasingly friendly to foreign investment, and the attention of overseas long-term capital and foreign investors to China is also developing in a positive direction. With the coordinated efforts of reform, it is believed that China's economy and market confidence will continue to stabilize and rebound. (Securities Times)Sun Hongmei was appointed as the Standing Committee of Anhui Provincial Committee. Recently, the Central Committee approved that Comrade Sun Hongmei should be appointed as the Standing Committee of Anhui Provincial Committee.Zhongjin's fixed income: the financing demand is weak under the background of debt conversion, and the monetary policy needs to continue to increase. Zhongjin's fixed income commented on the financial data in November, saying that it is expected that the currency will be loose or significantly accelerated next year, while the short-term interest rate may have a large downside. Under the background of slow real estate recovery, the domestic economy has stabilized relatively moderately, and the long-term interest rate has been affected or relatively limited. Next year, monetary and fiscal cooperation will be closer, and the supply factor of government bonds may not have much disturbance to the long end. Recently, the market has fully priced loose expectations, and the long-term interest rate has dropped rapidly. Next year, with the RRR cut, the short-term interest rate will fall or accelerate, and the yield curve will move down sharply.